PAOK 2-0 Slavia Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.82
Over
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.11
2-3
42%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.54
6+
10%
14.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.83
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
14%
5.73
X/2
12%
5.67
X/X
14%
4.49
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
17%
3.77
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Prag The Market 39%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.99/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.65
+24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 83%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
15.1 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
2-0
AWAY Slavia Prag
2.12 xG 0.84
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 Passes 307
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Slavia Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK got the better of Slavia Prag 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; PAOK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, PAOK had 47% of the ball to Slavia Prag's 53%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.12 to 0.84.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Slavia Prag?

PAOK 2-0 Slavia Prag in the UEFA Europa League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Slavia Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split PAOK 36%, draw 27%, Slavia Prag 37%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✗ BTTS Yes
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