Rigas Skola vs Ajax Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rigas Skola v Ajax — Team-Based Signals
Rigas Skola 1-0 Ajax — Actual Match Statistics
Rigas Skola nicked a narrow win over Ajax 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Ajax at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Rigas Skola had 31% of the ball to Ajax's 69%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.24 to 1.05 — on chances, Ajax could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs Ajax?
Rigas Skola 1-0 Ajax in the UEFA Europa League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs Ajax?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 24%, draw 24%, Ajax 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ajax) went the other way.