De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
De Graafschap v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
RKC Waalwijk
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
4-0
HT 3-0
RKC Waalwijk
HOL2
2-1
HT 2-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-5
HT 0-3
De Graafschap
HOL2
De Graafschap 2-4 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics
RKC Waalwijk saw off De Graafschap 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was De Graafschap at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
On the day, De Graafschap had 70% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 30%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.63 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for De Graafschap and 0.50 for RKC Waalwijk.
What was the final score of De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk?
De Graafschap 2-4 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk?
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 42%, draw 22%, RKC Waalwijk 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (De Graafschap) went the other way.