Dordrecht vs Den Bosch Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dordrecht v Den Bosch — Team-Based Signals
Dordrecht vs Den Bosch Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 3-1
Den Bosch
HOL2
3-1
HT 2-0
Dordrecht
HOL2
Dordrecht 3-2 Den Bosch — Actual Match Statistics
Dordrecht edged past Den Bosch 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Dordrecht made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
On the day, Dordrecht had 45% of the ball to Den Bosch's 55%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.98 to 0.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dordrecht's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Dordrecht and 1.50 for Den Bosch.
What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Den Bosch?
Dordrecht 3-2 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Den Bosch?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 39%, draw 24%, Den Bosch 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.