Roda 1-2 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 23 Jan 2026

Roda
1-2 HT 0-0
FC Oss
📅23/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 26% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.86
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.05
X/1
24%
4.1
X/2
6%
12.2
X/X
8%
6.4
2/1
9%
21.1
2/2
7%
9.68
2/X
5%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+1.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.4pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.71/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.64
-15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.7 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Oss
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
394 Passes 275
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2025 FC Oss FC Oss 1-2 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL2
17.01.2025 FC Oss FC Oss 0-2 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL2
16.08.2024 Roda Roda 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
12.04.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-4 HT 0-3 Roda Roda HOL2
25.08.2023 Roda Roda 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
13.01.2023 Roda Roda 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
1-2
AWAY FC Oss
1.62 xG 1.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
363 Passes 249
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roda vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss squeezed past Roda 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Roda at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Roda had 57% of the ball to FC Oss's 43%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.62 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Roda and 0.50 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of Roda vs FC Oss?

Roda 1-2 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Roda 64%, draw 19%, FC Oss 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Roda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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