Willem II vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Willem II v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals
Willem II vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-0
Willem II
HOL2
2-2
HT 2-0
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
3-2
HT 2-2
Willem II
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-1
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
Willem II 2-1 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics
Willem II nicked a narrow win over VVV-Venlo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Willem II as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Willem II had 48% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 52%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 2.48 to 0.97 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Willem II's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Willem II and 1.17 for VVV-Venlo.
What was the final score of Willem II vs VVV-Venlo?
Willem II 2-1 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Willem II vs VVV-Venlo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Willem II 58%, draw 19%, VVV-Venlo 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.