MVV Maastricht 2-2 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.66
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
7.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.46
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.45
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
10%
5.88
X/2
11%
6.05
X/X
9%
5.93
2/1
6%
23.55
2/2
17%
3.6
2/X
6%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.47/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.42
+33% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
15.1 Crosses 19.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MVV Maastricht
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Utrecht II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
420 Passes 351
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.10.2025 Utrecht II Utrecht II 3-1 HT 2-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
18.04.2025 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 5-0 HT 3-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
04.11.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 4-3 HT 2-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
19.01.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 3-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
30.10.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-1 HT 1-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
17.03.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
2-2
AWAY Utrecht II
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
FAQ MVV Maastricht vs Utrecht II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

MVV Maastricht and Utrecht II shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23 Jan 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was favoured at 60%.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 56% of the ball to Utrecht II's 44%, shots finished 15-13.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.33 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Utrecht II?

MVV Maastricht 2-2 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 43%, draw 21%, Utrecht II 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MVV Maastricht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MVV Maastricht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
23 Jan 2026
22:00 Vitesse vs ADO Den Haag Analysis →
22:00 Dordrecht vs Den Bosch Analysis →
22:00 Roda vs FC Oss Analysis →
22:00 Willem II vs VVV-Venlo Analysis →
22:00 De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk Analysis →