Vitesse 2-1 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 23 Jan 2026

Vitesse
2-1 HT 2-0
ADO Den Haag
📅23/01/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Vitesse vs ADO Den Haag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.82
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.67
6+ Goals
15%
6.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.99
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
20.1
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
12%
8.77
X/2
9%
4.7
X/X
7%
6.24
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.32
2/X
6%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.1 — our 12% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.8pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.6pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v ADO Den Haag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 57%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.18/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.00
-33% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
15.9 Crosses 22.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Vitesse vs ADO Den Haag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
2W-2D-2L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 0.79
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
378 Passes 227
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.03.2025 Vitesse Vitesse 0-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
08.11.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
09.04.2021 Vitesse Vitesse 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
19.01.2021 Vitesse Vitesse 2-1 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOK
18.10.2020 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-2 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
22.08.2020 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 1-2 Vitesse Vitesse HAZ

Vitesse 2-1 ADO Den Haag — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
2-1
AWAY ADO Den Haag
2.40 xG 1.60
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
203 Passes 460
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 40
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse squeezed past ADO Den Haag 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vitesse had 34% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 66%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.40 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitesse and 1.00 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs ADO Den Haag?

Vitesse 2-1 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 28%, draw 21%, ADO Den Haag 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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