Recanatese 2-0 Ancona 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.18
6+ Goals
12%
20.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.18 — our 26% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Recanatese EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ancona 1905 EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -18%
1.66/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.58
+52% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Recanatese
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ancona 1905
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.11.2023 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 2-0 HT 0-0 Recanatese Recanatese İTC
23.04.2023 Recanatese Recanatese 4-0 HT 2-0 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 İTC
17.12.2022 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 4-0 HT 2-0 Recanatese Recanatese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Recanatese
2-0
AWAY Ancona 1905
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Recanatese vs Ancona 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Recanatese beat Ancona 1905 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Recanatese made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Recanatese had 60% of the ball to Ancona 1905's 40%, shots finished 16-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ancona 1905 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Recanatese and 2.00 for Ancona 1905.

What was the final score of Recanatese vs Ancona 1905?

Recanatese 2-0 Ancona 1905 in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Recanatese vs Ancona 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Recanatese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Recanatese 38%, draw 27%, Ancona 1905 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Recanatese) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Recanatese) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
23 Mar 2024
16:00 AlbinoLeffe vs Pro Sesto Analysis →
16:00 Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona Analysis →
16:00 Virtus Francavilla vs Nuova Monterosi Analysis →
16:00 GIANA Erminio vs Alessandria Analysis →
16:00 ACR Messina vs Foggia Calcio Analysis →
16:00 Picerno vs US Latina Analysis →