Sassari Torres 1-0 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.67
Over 2.5
54%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.65
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.42 — our 28% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
56%
-10.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
44%
+10.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.82/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.70
+6% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
422 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassari Torres
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-2 HT 1-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
31.01.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-1 HT 1-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
01.10.2022 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 2-2 HT 0-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassari Torres
1-0
AWAY Vis Pesaro
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sassari Torres vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres squeezed past Vis Pesaro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sassari Torres as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sassari Torres had 54% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 46%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sassari Torres and 1.67 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Sassari Torres vs Vis Pesaro?

Sassari Torres 1-0 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassari Torres vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sassari Torres 54%, draw 26%, Vis Pesaro 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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