İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 2-1 Bulgaristan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 23 Mar 2025

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
2-1 HT 0-1
Bulgaristan
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti vs Bulgaristan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.49
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.05
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.85
X/1
17%
3.76
X/2
9%
11.05
X/X
10%
4.45
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
7%
10.3
2/X
8%
19.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.6pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti v Bulgaristan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bulgaristan EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.89/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.24
-23% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
26.4 Crosses 11.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti vs Bulgaristan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Bulgaristan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.75 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
439 Passes 331
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.03.2025 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 1-2 HT 1-2 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti AVUL
18.11.2020 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 0-0 HT 0-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan AVUL
03.09.2020 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 1-1 HT 0-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti AVUL
10.09.2019 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 3-1 HT 0-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan HAZ
06.06.2009 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan 1-1 HT 1-1 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti DKE
28.03.2009 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 1-1 HT 1-0 Bulgaristan Bulgaristan DKE

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 2-1 Bulgaristan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
2-1
AWAY Bulgaristan
1.82 xG 0.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
421 Passes 412
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İrlanda Cumhuriyeti vs Bulgaristan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti squeezed past Bulgaristan 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İrlanda Cumhuriyeti as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti had 50% of the ball to Bulgaristan's 50%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.82 to 0.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İrlanda Cumhuriyeti's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti and 0.83 for Bulgaristan.

What was the final score of İrlanda Cumhuriyeti vs Bulgaristan?

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 2-1 Bulgaristan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti vs Bulgaristan?

Before kick-off our model rated a İrlanda Cumhuriyeti win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 54%, draw 25%, Bulgaristan 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUL More UEFA Uluslar League
23 Mar 2025
17:00 Gürcistan vs Ermenistan Analysis →
20:00 Sırbistan vs Avusturya Analysis →
20:00 Macaristan vs Türkiye Analysis →
20:00 İskoçya vs Yunanistan Analysis →
20:00 Slovenya vs Slovakya Analysis →
20:00 İzlanda vs Kosova Analysis →