Fransa vs Hırvatistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fransa v Hırvatistan — Team-Based Signals
Fransa vs Hırvatistan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Hırvatistan
AVUL
1-1
HT 0-0
Fransa
AVUL
1-2
HT 0-1
Fransa
AVUL
4-2
HT 2-1
Hırvatistan
AVUL
4-2
HT 2-1
Hırvatistan
DK
Fransa 2-0 Hırvatistan — Actual Match Statistics
Fransa saw off Hırvatistan 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fransa as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Fransa had 62% of the ball to Hırvatistan's 38%, shots finished 28-5, expected goals 3.17 to 0.21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fransa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fransa and 1.50 for Hırvatistan.
What was the final score of Fransa vs Hırvatistan?
Fransa 2-0 Hırvatistan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fransa vs Hırvatistan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Fransa 63%, draw 20%, Hırvatistan 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.