Vis Pesaro vs SPAL Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vis Pesaro v SPAL — Team-Based Signals
Vis Pesaro vs SPAL Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Vis Pesaro
İTC
Vis Pesaro 1-1 SPAL — Actual Match Statistics
Vis Pesaro and SPAL couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Vis Pesaro had 46% of the ball to SPAL's 54%, shots finished 8-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vis Pesaro and 0.67 for SPAL.
What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs SPAL?
Vis Pesaro 1-1 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs SPAL?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 39%, draw 31%, SPAL 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vis Pesaro) went the other way.