CD Olimpia 2-1 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
56%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.35/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.37
-5% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Marathon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
02.03.2026 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
08.01.2026 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
05.01.2026 Marathon Marathon 2-2 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
24.11.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-2 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
31.08.2025 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
28.04.2025 Marathon Marathon 1-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia edged past Marathon 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; CD Olimpia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Olimpia and 1.50 for Marathon.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Marathon?

CD Olimpia 2-1 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 40%, draw 33%, Marathon 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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