Napredak Krusevac 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.3pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 66%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.89/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.05/0.89
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +118%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.2
16.7 Crosses 29.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2W-1D-3L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.55 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2026 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 2-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
31.08.2025 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 3-1 HT 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
24.05.2025 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
02.04.2025 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-1 HT 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRBK
09.12.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 3-2 HT 1-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
02.08.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0-1
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
0.29 xG 1.39
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
238 Passes 404
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd squeezed past Napredak Krusevac 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IMT Novi Beograd as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 40% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 60%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.29 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.67 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Napredak Krusevac 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 19%, draw 28%, IMT Novi Beograd 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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