Spartak Subotica vs Backa Topola Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Subotica v Backa Topola — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Subotica vs Backa Topola Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Spartak Subotica 1-4 Backa Topola — Actual Match Statistics
Backa Topola swept aside Spartak Subotica 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Spartak Subotica had 39% of the ball to Backa Topola's 61%, shots finished 8-23, expected goals 0.66 to 4.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.67 for Backa Topola.
What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Backa Topola?
Spartak Subotica 1-4 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Backa Topola?
Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 18%, draw 26%, Backa Topola 56%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.