Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.21/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.50
-14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
264 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 75%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.8 Crosses 18.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 1.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 Passes 237
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
25.01.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-1 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
13.10.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
16.04.2024 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-3 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
03.09.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
04.03.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
1-1
AWAY Metropolitanos
0.75 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
310 Passes 253
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello and Metropolitanos shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Academia Puerto Cabello at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 53% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 47%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.75 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.50 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitanos?

Academia Puerto Cabello 1-1 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 45%, draw 28%, Metropolitanos 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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