Jong Almere City 5-4 GVVV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
30%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.31
No
37%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-11.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.1pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY GVVV EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -21%
2.61/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.89
+79% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Almere City
2W-3D-0L
AWAY GVVV
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 GVVV GVVV 0-4 HT 0-2 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
15.02.2025 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 4-1 HT 1-0 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
21.09.2024 GVVV GVVV 3-3 HT 2-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
13.04.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 3-3 HT 2-3 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
11.11.2023 GVVV GVVV 0-0 HT 0-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Almere City
5-4
AWAY GVVV
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jong Almere City vs GVVV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City edged past GVVV 5-4. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jong Almere City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Jong Almere City had 62% of the ball to GVVV's 38%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jong Almere City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Jong Almere City and 1.40 for GVVV.

What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs GVVV?

Jong Almere City 5-4 GVVV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs GVVV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 45%, draw 25%, GVVV 30%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Almere City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jong Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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