Lech Poznan 2-2 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.45
6+ Goals
11%
5.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.3pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.7pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.95/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.52
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
23.1 Crosses 14.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.48 xG 1.09
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
397 Passes 281
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
11.02.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-1 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
31.07.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-3 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
16.04.2022 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-1 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
22.10.2021 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4-1 HT 1-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
14.02.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 1-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
2-2
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.23 xG 3.24
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
489 Passes 209
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lech Poznan and Wisla Plock shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Lech Poznan carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lech Poznan had 68% of the ball to Wisla Plock's 32%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.23 to 3.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lech Poznan and 0.83 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?

Lech Poznan 2-2 Wisla Plock in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 63%, draw 20%, Wisla Plock 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lech Poznan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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