Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
23%
2.88
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
6%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 36% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.85
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
11.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
4.93
X/2
13%
7.86
X/X
12%
3.8
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
14%
6.02
2/X
3%
12.75
Value flag · X/1 at 4.93 — our 22% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
31%
-8.4pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.7pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.25/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.44
+5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
22.3 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
306 Passes 267
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-1 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
14.02.2025 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-1 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
10.08.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-2 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
09.03.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
02.09.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
06.02.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1-1
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.41 xG 0.25
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
233 Passes 424
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 24
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow and Korona Kielce couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cracovia Krakow at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 39% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 61%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.41 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 0.67 for Korona Kielce.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?

Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 46%, draw 23%, Korona Kielce 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cracovia Krakow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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