Widzew Lodz 2-1 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 30% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.42
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
18%
5.16
X/2
10%
6.01
X/X
11%
4.31
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
11%
4.32
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.23/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.50
-12% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
20.7 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.49
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
346 Passes 368
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.11.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-2 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
28.03.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-2 HT 0-2 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
21.09.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
07.04.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.09.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 3-2 HT 2-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
23.04.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-3 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
2-1
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.67 xG 0.47
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
169 Passes 338
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz nicked a narrow win over Piast Gliwice 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Widzew Lodz as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 38% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 62%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.67 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Widzew Lodz had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.00 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Piast Gliwice?

Widzew Lodz 2-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 42%, draw 29%, Piast Gliwice 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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