Pogon Szczecin vs Katowice Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Szczecin v Katowice — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Szczecin vs Katowice Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Pogon Szczecin
POLK
Pogon Szczecin 1-1 Katowice — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Szczecin and Katowice couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Pogon Szczecin at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 47% of the ball to Katowice's 53%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.00 to 0.87.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.20 for Katowice.
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Katowice?
Pogon Szczecin 1-1 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Katowice?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 45%, draw 23%, Katowice 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), Over 2.5 went the other way.