Legia Varşova vs Motor Lublin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Legia Varşova v Motor Lublin — Team-Based Signals
Legia Varşova vs Motor Lublin Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-3
Motor Lublin
HAZ
1-2
HT 1-0
Legia Varşova
POLK
Legia Varşova 4-0 Motor Lublin — Actual Match Statistics
Legia Varşova cruised past Motor Lublin 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Legia Varşova had 57% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 43%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.33 to 0.54.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Legia Varşova and 2.00 for Motor Lublin.
What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Motor Lublin?
Legia Varşova 4-0 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Motor Lublin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 56%, draw 23%, Motor Lublin 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.