Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jagiellonia Bialystok v Zaglebie Lubin — Team-Based Signals
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Zaglebie Lubin
POL
Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin — Actual Match Statistics
Jagiellonia Bialystok nicked a narrow win over Zaglebie Lubin 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 55% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 45%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.05 to 2.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 1.00 for Zaglebie Lubin.
What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 62%, draw 19%, Zaglebie Lubin 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.