Real Espana 4-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 23 Jul 2025

📅23/07/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.54
Over 2.5
30%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.13
No
68%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
70%
Under 2.5
61%
+9.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
39%
-9.5pp
32%
BTTS Yes
43%
-10.4pp
68%
BTTS No
57%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.41/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.03
-9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Olancho
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.05.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
02.03.2025 Olancho Olancho 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
21.10.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
12.08.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-1 HT 3-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
31.03.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
01.02.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana cruised past Olancho 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Espana and 1.00 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Olancho?

Real Espana 4-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 23/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 46%, draw 28%, Olancho 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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