Los Angeles FC 3-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.15
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
21%
4.5
X/2
6%
9.32
X/X
8%
6.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.8
2/2
13%
6.57
2/X
5%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.84/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.72
-10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
17.6 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.51 xG 1.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
353 Passes 368
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2025 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-1 HT 2-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
18.09.2025 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-4 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
18.07.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
03.03.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-0 HT 3-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
02.10.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
09.08.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake CONLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
3-1
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.16 xG 2.71
12 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 12
235 Passes 643
16 Box Touches 40
14 Crosses 42
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC beat Real Salt Lake 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 12-28, expected goals 1.16 to 2.71 — on chances, Real Salt Lake could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.17 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Los Angeles FC 3-1 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 54%, draw 22%, Real Salt Lake 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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