Nashville SC 1-0 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Jul 2026

📅23/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.81
6+ Goals
13%
8.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.75
X/1
19%
4.16
X/2
9%
11.15
X/X
9%
6.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.3
2/2
6%
8.52
2/X
4%
16.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.0pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.91/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.67
+17% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.7 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.56 xG 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
373 Passes 426
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-1 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
23.03.2025 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
26.05.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
05.05.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 4-1 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
22.06.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
12.03.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
1-0
AWAY CF Montreal
1.89 xG 0.76
10 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
573 Passes 313
20 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC edged past CF Montreal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.89 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nashville SC and 0.50 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?

Nashville SC 1-0 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 23/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 56%, draw 23%, CF Montreal 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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