Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 3-2 Gütersloh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Gütersloh EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.04/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.60
+4% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Gütersloh
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 Gütersloh Gütersloh 0-4 HT 0-2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
26.08.2023 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-0 HT 1-0 Gütersloh Gütersloh ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
3-2
AWAY Gütersloh
48% Ball Possession 52%
26 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Gütersloh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen squeezed past Gütersloh 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rot-Weiss Oberhausen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen had 48% of the ball to Gütersloh's 52%, shots finished 26-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen and 0.00 for Gütersloh.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Gütersloh?

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 3-2 Gütersloh in the Germany - Regional League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen vs Gütersloh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Oberhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 51%, draw 24%, Gütersloh 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Oberhausen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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