Vancouver FC 0-1 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.48
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
63%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
14%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
19%
-2.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.4pp
63%
Away Win
58%
+5.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 62%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.03/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.57
-17% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
16.2 Crosses 24.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Forge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.18 xG 1.87
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 376
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2025 Forge Forge 2-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
15.06.2025 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Forge Forge KAPL
22.09.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
19.08.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Forge Forge KAPL
06.07.2024 Forge Forge 3-3 HT 1-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
18.05.2024 Forge Forge 1-2 HT 0-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver FC
0-1
AWAY Forge
1.25 xG 0.98
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
318 Passes 414
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vancouver FC vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forge squeezed past Vancouver FC 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vancouver FC had 44% of the ball to Forge's 56%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.25 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vancouver FC and 2.17 for Forge.

What was the final score of Vancouver FC vs Forge?

Vancouver FC 0-1 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver FC vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Vancouver FC 17%, draw 20%, Forge 63%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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