HFX Wanderers vs Valour Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HFX Wanderers v Valour — Team-Based Signals
HFX Wanderers vs Valour Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HFX Wanderers 4-1 Valour — Actual Match Statistics
HFX Wanderers swept aside Valour 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had HFX Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, HFX Wanderers had 56% of the ball to Valour's 44%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.40 to 0.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.17 for Valour.
What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs Valour?
HFX Wanderers 4-1 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs Valour?
Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 61%, draw 21%, Valour 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HFX Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.