Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.07
Over
56%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
45%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Leones Negros Udeg The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio The Market 25%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.14 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
0.85 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.58
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
08.06.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
12.01.2025 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-3 HT 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
18.11.2024 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 2-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
15.11.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-2 HT 1-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
27.07.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
23.02.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
REVIEW Leones Negros Udeg vs CD Tapatio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Leones Negros Udeg and CD Tapatio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Leones Negros Udeg at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals card split: both teams to score (55%) came in, over 2.5 goals (56%) didn't.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.50 for CD Tapatio.

Leones Negros Udeg vs CD Tapatio Result & Final Score

Leones Negros Udeg 1 - 1 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leones Negros Udeg vs CD Tapatio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 56%, draw 24%, CD Tapatio 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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