San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USA - Major League, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Minnesota United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.23 xG 2.09
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
357 Passes 294
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 30
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.04.2026 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 4-2 HT 1-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABDK
13.07.2025 Minnesota United Minnesota United 4-1 HT 3-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
09.03.2025 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 HT 0-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
01.09.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 HT 1-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
21.07.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-0 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
01.10.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
PREVIEW San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model can't split San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United in any meaningful way; small margins will decide it.

San Jose Earthquakes's recent home league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5, while Minnesota United have scored in every one of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 2.00 for Minnesota United.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United Kick-off Time

San Jose Earthquakes play Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 23/08/2026, kick-off 05:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United is an Minnesota United win at about 38% probability, priced 2.94 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is San Jose Earthquakes 36%, draw 25%, Minnesota United 38%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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