Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Minnesota United v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
Minnesota United
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
Minnesota United 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United swept aside San Jose Earthquakes 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Minnesota United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Minnesota United had 36% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 64%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.83 to 1.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Minnesota United and 0.83 for San Jose Earthquakes.
What was the final score of Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Minnesota United 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 43%, draw 26%, San Jose Earthquakes 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.