Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie A, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.43 xG 0.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
344 Passes 346
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2026 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
02.10.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-0 HT 3-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
04.05.2025 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-1 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
22.09.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-1 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
14.06.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-0 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
28.08.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
PREVIEW Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model makes Palmeiras clear favourites here — the kind of home-and-form edge that usually tells.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Palmeiras's last 5 home league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras have the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Palmeiras and 0.33 for Vasco da Gama.

Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Kick-off Time

Palmeiras play Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/08/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama is a Palmeiras win at about 55% probability, priced 1.64 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Palmeiras 55%, draw 28%, Vasco da Gama 18%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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