Vitoria vs Bahia Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie A, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bahia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.60 xG 1.27
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
269 Passes 398
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2026 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
17.10.2025 Vitoria Vitoria 2-1 HT 1-1 Bahia Bahia BR1
18.05.2025 Bahia Bahia 2-1 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
11.08.2024 Bahia Bahia 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
21.04.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 2-2 HT 1-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
05.03.2023 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BRCDN
PREVIEW Vitoria vs Bahia
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

This is one of the day's tightest calls on our numbers — no outcome separates itself.

Vitoria have won 4 of their last 5 home league games; meanwhile, Bahia's recent away league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Vitoria against 1.50 for Bahia.

Vitoria vs Bahia Kick-off Time

Vitoria play Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/08/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Vitoria vs Bahia Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Vitoria vs Bahia is a Vitoria win at about 40% probability, priced 2.33 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Vitoria 40%, draw 25%, Bahia 35%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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