KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
71%
1.29
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.23 xG 0.70
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
522 Passes 241
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
46 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2026 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-1 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
18.06.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
23.04.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-1 HT 2-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
25.08.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
16.06.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-3 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
13.04.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-2 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
PREVIEW KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

KuPS Kuopio start as strong favourites on our numbers; IFK Mariehamn's job is to make the game ugly early. The price (1.29, near 78%) says the market is more convinced still.

KuPS Kuopio's recent home league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 5 of the last 5, and IFK Mariehamn's away form is a worry — beaten in 5 of the last 5 in the league.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.00 for IFK Mariehamn.

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn Kick-off Time

KuPS Kuopio play IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 23/08/2026, kick-off 15:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn is a KuPS Kuopio win at about 71% probability, priced 1.29 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is KuPS Kuopio 71%, draw 17%, IFK Mariehamn 13%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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