Rijeka vs Istra 1961 Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Croatia - 1. HNL, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Istra 1961
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.39 xG 0.78
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
332 Passes 266
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2026 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
15.03.2026 Rijeka Rijeka 0-2 HT 0-2 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
27.09.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
19.04.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-0 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
02.04.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIRK
09.02.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 0-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
PREVIEW Rijeka vs Istra 1961
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model makes Rijeka clear favourites here — the kind of home-and-form edge that usually tells.

One side has usually been blanked in Rijeka's home league games — both scored in only 0 of the last 5, and Istra 1961's away league games have stayed low-scoring — only 1 of the last 5 cleared 2.5 goals.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Rijeka and 0.83 for Istra 1961.

Rijeka vs Istra 1961 Kick-off Time

Rijeka play Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 23/08/2026, kick-off 19:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Rijeka vs Istra 1961 Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Rijeka vs Istra 1961 is a Rijeka win at about 69% probability, priced 1.43 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Rijeka 69%, draw 16%, Istra 1961 14%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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23 Aug 2026
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