Brackley Town 1-0 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.72
2-3 Goals
45%
1.72
4-5 Goals
14%
3.84
6+ Goals
7%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 34% vs market 29.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.19
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.15
X/1
15%
4.02
X/2
5%
9.67
X/X
15%
4.67
2/1
12%
25.5
2/2
9%
8.31
2/X
8%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
17%
Away Win
19%
-2.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 22%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.49/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.68
-16% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -40%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
389 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Truro City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.09.2024 Truro City Truro City 0-2 HT 0-2 Brackley Town Brackley Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
1-0
AWAY Truro City
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town nicked a narrow win over Truro City 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brackley Town had 36% of the ball to Truro City's 64%, shots finished 8-2.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Truro City?

Brackley Town 1-0 Truro City in the England - National League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 56%, draw 28%, Truro City 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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