Gateshead 0-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
9%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.76
1/2
8%
23.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
17%
7.04
X/2
12%
5.08
X/X
9%
5.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
30.5
2/2
24%
2.87
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -17%
1.05/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.10
-18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
106 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 140 · 94%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hartlepool United
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-2 HT 2-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
26.12.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 4-3 HT 2-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
26.03.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 7-1 HT 1-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
12.08.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
01.01.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
26.12.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 2-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
0-1
AWAY Hartlepool United
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 14
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United edged past Gateshead 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hartlepool United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gateshead had 52% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 48%, shots finished 13-28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Gateshead and 2.00 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Hartlepool United?

Gateshead 0-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 33%, draw 23%, Hartlepool United 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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