Rochdale 4-1 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 32% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.89
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.55
X/1
17%
4.05
X/2
5%
11.5
X/X
14%
6.1
2/1
9%
21.0
2/2
8%
9.15
2/X
5%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
2.53/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.59
+30% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 179 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Solihull Moors
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.04.2025 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-1 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
14.09.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 1-2 HT 0-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
17.02.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 1-2 HT 1-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
03.10.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
4-1
AWAY Solihull Moors
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale ran out comfortable winners over Solihull Moors 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rochdale had 53% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 47%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Solihull Moors led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Rochdale and 1.50 for Solihull Moors.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Solihull Moors?

Rochdale 4-1 Solihull Moors in the England - National League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 56%, draw 24%, Solihull Moors 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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