Woking 1-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 31% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.04
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
14%
4.93
X/2
12%
6.61
X/X
17%
4.68
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.77
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Woking EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.69/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.30
+11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
157 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 131 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Woking
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sutton United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Woking Woking 1-2 HT 0-2 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
25.07.2023 Woking Woking 2-0 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United HAZ
11.05.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 3-2 HT 1-1 Woking Woking İBSL
06.02.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 0-1 HT 0-1 Woking Woking FAK
01.12.2020 Woking Woking 0-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
01.01.2020 Sutton United Sutton United 6-2 HT 5-0 Woking Woking İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Woking
1-1
AWAY Sutton United
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Woking vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Woking and Sutton United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Woking at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Woking had 59% of the ball to Sutton United's 41%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Woking and 2.00 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Woking vs Sutton United?

Woking 1-1 Sutton United in the England - National League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Woking vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Woking win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Woking 43%, draw 29%, Sutton United 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Woking) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Woking) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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