Altrincham 1-2 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
9%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 29% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.32
1/2
11%
23.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
11%
7.37
X/2
14%
4.72
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.69
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.47/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.02
+17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
65 · 96% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 76 · 96%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
26.08.2024 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
28.11.2015 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
08.08.2015 Altrincham Altrincham 0-1 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
14.02.2015 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 HT 2-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
06.12.2014 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
1-2
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Forest Green Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers squeezed past Altrincham 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Altrincham had 52% of the ball to Forest Green Rovers's 48%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Altrincham and 1.50 for Forest Green Rovers.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Forest Green Rovers?

Altrincham 1-2 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Forest Green Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 28%, draw 22%, Forest Green Rovers 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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