Gor Mahia 0-0 KCB Nairobi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 29%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
2.85/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
1W-1D-0L
AWAY KCB Nairobi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2024 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 0-0 HT 0-0 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia KEN
25.09.2021 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 2-1 HT 2-1 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN2
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs KCB Nairobi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia and KCB Nairobi fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Gor Mahia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gor Mahia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gor Mahia and 0.50 for KCB Nairobi.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs KCB Nairobi?

Gor Mahia 0-0 KCB Nairobi in the Kenya - Premier League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs KCB Nairobi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 41%, draw 29%, KCB Nairobi 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gor Mahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
23 Oct 2024
00:00 Talanta vs Bandari Analysis →
13:00 Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars Analysis →
13:00 Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks Analysis →
14:00 Shabana vs Sofapaka Analysis →
14:00 Homeboyz vs Nairobi City Stars Analysis →
15:00 TransMara Sugar vs Posta Rangers Analysis →