Atletico Nacional 2-0 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 23 Oct 2025

📅23/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
60%
+3.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.2pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 20%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.10/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.24
+37% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.43 xG 0.64
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
403 Passes 246
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.10.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
12.07.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
20.06.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
02.06.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
26.01.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 4-0 HT 1-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
28.07.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional saw off Once Caldas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.67 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

Atletico Nacional 2-0 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Cup on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 64%, draw 20%, Once Caldas 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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