Tamworth 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.5
6+ Goals
7%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 33% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.83
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
14%
5.69
X/2
14%
5.44
X/X
12%
4.81
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
19%
3.61
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.6pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +6%
1.36/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.26
-2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
43 · 97% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 43 · 93%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
31.03.2007 Tamworth Tamworth 0-2 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
19.08.2006 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 4-0 HT 2-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
21.01.2006 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 HT 1-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
20.08.2005 Tamworth Tamworth 2-2 HT 0-2 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
2-1
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
1 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth squeezed past Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Tamworth made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tamworth had 44% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 56%, shots finished 17-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Tamworth and 2.50 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Tamworth 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 36%, draw 27%, Dagenham & Redbridge 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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