Barnsley 0-1 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.66
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
16%
4.31
X/2
13%
7.55
X/X
10%
4.74
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
13%
5.8
2/X
8%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.33/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.27
+8% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
23.6 Crosses 16.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.61 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 316
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Barnsley Barnsley İNLK
01.01.2024 Barnsley Barnsley 1-1 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
26.08.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
11.07.2020 Barnsley Barnsley 0-0 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL
31.08.2019 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
13.04.2017 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 3-2 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
0-1
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.16 xG 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
262 Passes 216
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barnsley vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic nicked a narrow win over Barnsley 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Barnsley at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Barnsley had 55% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 45%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.16 to 0.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Barnsley.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barnsley and 0.83 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Barnsley vs Wigan Athletic?

Barnsley 0-1 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 43%, draw 26%, Wigan Athletic 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barnsley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barnsley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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