Lusitania 0-2 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 23 Nov 2024

Lusitania
0-2 HT 0-0
Sao Joao Ver
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2024/2025

Lusitania vs Sao Joao Ver Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lusitania v Sao Joao Ver — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 40%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-29% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Lusitania 0-2 Sao Joao Ver — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania
0-2
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lusitania vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver beat Lusitania 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sao Joao Ver found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lusitania had 56% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 44%, shots finished 8-6.

What was the final score of Lusitania vs Sao Joao Ver?

Lusitania 0-2 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - Cup on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lusitania 34%, draw 27%, Sao Joao Ver 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Joao Ver), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POK More Portugal - Cup
23 Nov 2024
17:00 Alverca vs Rio Ave Analysis →
18:00 Lusitano Évora 1911 vs AVS Analysis →
18:00 Arouca vs Farense Analysis →
19:45 Vitoria Guimaraes vs Uniao De Leiria Analysis →
21:30 Leixoes vs Sporting Braga Analysis →
22:15 Casa Pia vs Chaves Analysis →