Casa Pia 3-0 Chaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 23 Nov 2024

Casa Pia
3-0 HT 2-0
Chaves
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2024/2025

Casa Pia vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
4.81
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Casa Pia v Chaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaves EU Bookmakers 26%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.53
+4% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
351 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Casa Pia vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casa Pia
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Chaves
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.97 xG 1.44
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
311 Passes 384
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Casa Pia Casa Pia 3-1 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR
17.12.2023 Chaves Chaves 1-3 HT 1-2 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
29.04.2023 Chaves Chaves 1-0 HT 1-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
13.11.2022 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-2 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR
13.03.2022 Chaves Chaves 4-1 HT 1-1 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR2
23.10.2021 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-0 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR2

Casa Pia 3-0 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casa Pia
3-0
AWAY Chaves
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Casa Pia vs Chaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casa Pia ran out comfortable winners over Chaves 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Casa Pia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Casa Pia had 52% of the ball to Chaves's 48%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Casa Pia and 1.50 for Chaves.

What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Chaves?

Casa Pia 3-0 Chaves in the Portugal - Cup on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Chaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 40%, draw 30%, Chaves 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casa Pia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Casa Pia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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