Lusitano Évora 1911 3-2 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-9.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.0pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS EU Bookmakers 69%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
3-2
AWAY AVS
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lusitano Évora 1911 vs AVS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitano Évora 1911 nicked a narrow win over AVS 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AVS at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lusitano Évora 1911 had 40% of the ball to AVS's 60%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs AVS?

Lusitano Évora 1911 3-2 AVS in the Portugal - Cup on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs AVS?

Before kick-off our model rated an AVS win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lusitano Évora 1911 20%, draw 25%, AVS 55%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AVS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POK More Portugal - Cup
23 Nov 2024
15:00 Lusitania vs Sao Joao Ver Analysis →
17:00 Alverca vs Rio Ave Analysis →
18:00 Arouca vs Farense Analysis →
19:45 Vitoria Guimaraes vs Uniao De Leiria Analysis →
21:30 Leixoes vs Sporting Braga Analysis →
22:15 Casa Pia vs Chaves Analysis →