Diosgyor 4-0 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 23 Nov 2025

Diosgyor
4-0 HT 1-0
MTK Budapest
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2025/2026

Diosgyor vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.51
Over
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.4
No
44%
2.71
Total Goals
0-1
25%
5.12
2-3
42%
1.96
4-5
22%
2.6
6+
11%
6.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Diosgyor v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest The Market 43%
+9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.57/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.86
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
23.6 Crosses 20.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Diosgyor vs MTK Budapest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.26 xG 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
340 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.08.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 5-0 HT 4-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
17.05.2025 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
21.02.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 4-0 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
19.10.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
14.04.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
16.12.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 3-3 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC

Diosgyor 4-0 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
4-0
AWAY MTK Budapest
3.06 xG 0.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
24 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
329 Passes 254
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Diosgyor vs MTK Budapest
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Diosgyor overpowered MTK Budapest 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Diosgyor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Diosgyor had 55% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 45%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 3.06 to 0.77.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Diosgyor and 2.67 for MTK Budapest.

Diosgyor vs MTK Budapest Result & Final Score

Diosgyor 4-0 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Diosgyor vs MTK Budapest Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 41%, draw 24%, MTK Budapest 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diosgyor) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diosgyor) ✗ BTTS Yes
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